“There's not a dime's worth of
difference between the two parties” was one of George Corley
Wallace's mantras. In 1968, when he was the American Independent
Party's candidate for President, the former Alabama governor said it
over and over. And too many Americans believed him. They still
believe the line, even if they don't associate it with the onetime
segregationist Wallace.
But if there isn't a difference, why
did the billionaire Koch Brothers spend millions on Republican Party
campaigns? They know there's a difference. But so many people who
would be better off with the Democrats in power stayed home. All the
voter-suppression tactics of Republican legislatures, nefarious
though they were, could not compare in effectiveness to the apathy of
a majority of registered voters. Not a plurality—a majority. And
while presidential elections usually bring out a higher turnout,
voter apathy could be the GOP's greatest ally in 2016.
A November 9 article in the Elkhart
Truth by Tim Vandenack made the
point all too well. The voter turnout in all of Elkhart County,
Indiana for the 2014 general election was only 26.63 per cent. No
single precinct managed 50 per cent. But the Elkhart 19 precinct,
home of the exclusive Greencroft Goshen retirement community, had the
highest turnout with 46.06 per cent. You can bet the vast majority of
those votes went to GOP candidates. Rural and exurban precincts
dominated the “most engaged voters” list.
It's not hard to
guess which areas made the “least engaged voters” list. The
Concord 6 precinct, between Main Street and the St. Joseph River, and
north of downtown Elkhart, topped the list, with a pathetic 5.27 per
cent turnout. It includes “The Hole,” an impoverished enclave in
the St. Joseph River flood plain, along with other lower-and
lower-middle-class neighborhoods. People living there would have
benefited by an expansion of Medicaid for people just above the
poverty line, which the GOP state government refused to accept. The
federally-funded pre-kindergarten program, just turned down by
Republican Governor Mike Pence, would have been a great help to their
children.
The next two
precincts in Vandenack's “least engaged” column were east or
south of downtown, including South Central Elkhart, an area that
shares some of the demographics of South Central Los Angeles. The two
semi-rural precincts on the low-turnout list included one with a
large mobile home park and another with several low-rent apartment
complexes.
It's true that
there were no major statewide races in Elkhart County. The
gubernatorial election follows the presidential election cycle, and
there was no Senatorial race this year. Still, there was an important
Congressional race, with Republican Representative Jackie Walorski,
who last year voted for shutting down the government and against
raising the debt ceiling. In both votes, she struck a blow against
the United States economy; if her side had won the debt ceiling vote,
it might very well have sent the economy into chaos. The poor and
lower-middle-class would have suffered the most.
The Democratic
candidate, Joe Bock, a thoughtful and compassionate man who had
served in the Missouri State Legislature, lost Elkhart County by a
landslide—22,873 to 9,334. He carried St. Joseph County (South
Bend), normally a Democratic stronghold, by only 563 votes. He
deserved better.
What
the numbers say to me is that the Republican Party didn't win the
2014 election. We Democrats lost. When a reporter asked the late
Chicago mayor Richard J. Daley why Hubert Humphrey lost to Richard
Nixon in 1968, he replied, “He didn't get enough votes.” The same
line applies to Joe Bock—the Democratic operation didn't get the
votes out for him. That means boots on the ground—people going
door-to-door and engaging the voters. It's easier to bring out
volunteers during a presidential year, when college students often
take time off from their studies to support candidates. But the
off-year elections are important as well, as the Tea Party victory in
2010 demonstrated. Republican control of state legislatures resulted
in gerrymandered congressional and legislative districts drawn to
make it even harder for Democrats to win.
So long as
vulnerable Americans believe there's not a dime's worth of difference
between the two parties, the Koch Brothers and their right-wing
Republican machine will keep on rolling up victories.